Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 7, 2025
Warriors at Timberwolves
1:30 am • TNTWarriors at Timberwolves Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Warriors 1-4 | +6 | +6-110 | o210-109 | +195 |
 Timberwolves 4-1 | u208 | -6-110 | u210-111 | -238 |
Target CenterMinneapolis
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Expert Picks
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 38-44-1 (-17.6u)
Over 210.5-105
3u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 24-38-2 (-18.3u)
D.Green o4.5 Ast-130
1u
D.DiVincenzo o10.5 Pts-112
1.12u
M.Conley o3.5 Ast+120
1.2u
Mike McNamara
Last 30d: 71-68-2 (+0.7u)
GSW +6.5-110
0.1u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 26-32-2 (-2.7u)
MIN -6-110
0.27u
B.Podziemski o11.5 Pts-120
0.6u
N.Reid o9.5 Pts-110
1u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
GSW +6.5-110
1u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 15-25-0 (+5.2u)
MIN -4.5-110
0.5u
Gave out last night was waiting for it to pop in the app
N.Reid o16.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118
0.85u
Naz Reid gets a matchup against an undersized Warriors team who is playing at a significant rest disadvantage for Game 1.
While Naz should still play off the bench, we have now seen proof of concept of bigger lineups having effectiveness against this Warriors team. The Rockets simply did not have the necessary offensive talent to punish them on that side of the ball although the defense held up.
Naz Reid has averaged 22.2 PRA on the season with a 79% hit rate on this line but he has seen a bit of a decline in the Playoffs with 16.8 PRA while hitting this line in 3/5 games. He was a bit more of a liability against the Lakers with their ability to punish him defensively. Regardless, he still saw 20+ minutes in each game.
He’s been solid on this line against the Warriors as well. Hitting in 5 straight games with 20+ PRA in four of those five.
I expect the Wolves to reset and play a more typical rotation today after making a bunch of series specific adjustments in Round 1. I’ll back Naz tonight.
Picks Office
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 209.5-105
1u
Last meeting hit 231. Over is 6-2 last 8 in Minnesota. T-Wolves 11-3 to Over at home. Both avg 113+ PPG. 30+ 3PM combined. GSW plays fast – 90.1 FGA/gm, nearly half from deep. All signs point to a shootout tonight.
T-Wolves shoot 46.7% FG, 37.4% from 3. Warriors hit 36.3% from deep on 42.4 attempts. Both launch at volume. Minnesota takes 39.7 threes/gm. Quick pace = more chances. Offensive styles match perfectly for points.
Curry had 31 in last H2H. Edwards at 27.6 PPG this season. Neither defense elite. Opponents shoot 46%+ vs both. Star scorers, pace, and weak D? Expect buckets all night.
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 31-37-0 (+2.2u)
MIN -17.5+381
0.1u
Under 208-110
0.36u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 18-13-0 (+4.1u)
B.Hield u14.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125
1.25u
That 39 PRA last game was impressive, but this is a brand new series. Not seeing a strong case for him tonight vs. the Timberwolves—and there's a real chance he doesn’t start. Without Steven Adams to exploit like in past matchups, Minnesota can lean more on Mike Conley and NAW’s screen navigation to limit his production. Worth noting: Gary Payton II is available after missing Game 7 vs. Houston, and both he and Moses Moody should see increased roles defensively against Anthony Edwards. His minutes could range from 17 to 28 tonight. Also: U2.5 3PM is juiced to -200—he’s gone under in all 6 games this fits. #PlayerProps
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 28-96-0 (-14.2u)
N.Reid o9.5 Pts-110
0.91u
pair this with the Naz 15 any game bet from Buckets 🪣
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 141-123-9 (+23.2u)
R.Gobert o9.5 Pts-136
1.36u
S.Curry o10.5 Rebs+Ast-110
1.1u
B.Podziemski o14.5 Pts+Ast-115
1.15u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 48-54-1 (+3.3u)
MIN -6-110
1u
Topper
Last 30d: 184-149-8 (+27.7u)
J.McDaniels u0.5 3pt M+235
1.18u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
GSW +210
2.06u
J.Butler u22.5 Pts-130
1u
GSW +6.5-110
1u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIN -130 (Live)
2u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 84-93-1 (+20.7u)
Over 170 (Live)+200
6u
Over 102 (1H)-110
1.1u
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-2.1u)
A.Edwards u28.5 Pts-115
0.87u
MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
GSW +7-115
1u
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Timberwolves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Timberwolves are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Timberwolves are 19-22 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Timberwolves' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Timberwolves' 41 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37-45 | 18-23 | 19-22 | 26-34 | 11-11 |
| N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38-44 | 14-27 | 24-17 | 26-34 | 12-10 |
| N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | N/A | N/A | 41-19 | 8-14 |
| N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Last 5 Matchups
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Injury Updates
Timberwolves Injuries
- Donte DiVincenzoSG
DiVincenzo is out with achilles
Out
Warriors Injuries
- Kristaps PorziņģisC
Porziņģis is out with unknown
Out
- Jimmy ButlerSF
Butler is out with knee
Out
- Moses MoodySG
Moody is out with knee
Out
- Charles BasseyC
Bassey is out with knee
Out
- Brandin PodziemskiSG
Podziemski is out with back
Out
Player Stats
- scoring
Anthony Edwards23ppg - reboundingAnthony Edwards14rpg
- assists
-6apg - shooting-57.1fg%
Team Stats
34-87 (39%)
Field Goals
34-86 (40%)
13-15 (87%)
Free Throws
15-17 (88%)
18-42 (43%)
3P
5-29 (17%)
51
Rebounds
41
26
Assists
19
Turnovers
10
Steals
7
2
Blocks
6
18
Fouls
21
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Warriors at Timberwolves Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Warriors 1-4 | N/A | N/A |
Timberwolves 4-1 | N/A | N/A |