The Wyoming Cowboys take on the Air Force Falcons at the U.S. Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network.
Air Force is favored by -4.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -200. The total is set at 58.5 points.
Here’s my Wyoming vs. Air Force prediction and college football picks for Saturday, October 18.
Wyoming vs Air Force Prediction
- Wyoming vs. Air Force Pick: Air Force -4 or Better
My Air Force vs. Wyoming best bet is on the Falcons to cover. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Wyoming vs Air Force Odds
| Wyoming Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -110 | 58.5 -110o / -110u | +155 |
| Air Force Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -110 | 58.5 -110o / -110u | -185 |
- Wyoming vs Air Force point spread: Air Force -4.5 (-110), Wyoming +4.5 (-110)
- Wyoming vs Air Force over/under: 58.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Wyoming vs Air Force moneyline: Wyoming +155, Air Force -185
Wyoming vs Air Force Pick
If you haven't watched the Air Force offense, it's must-see TV on every possession.
Just change the channel when the Falcons are on defense, as they can't stop a nose bleed, allowing over eight yards per play. The run defense isn't the worst I've ever seen, but the secondary couldn't cover you and me.
However, Wyoming will be the easiest test for the Air Force back end by a country mile, especially considering all of the injuries the Pokes are dealing with at tight end.
While I don't have many positive things to say about the Air Force defense, the Falcons have played an extremely tough schedule of opposing offenses, with their five losses coming against Utah State, Boise State, Hawaii, UNLV, and Navy. Just based on the latest SP+ ratings, four of those five offenses rank inside the top-50 nationally with an overall average of right around 50.
Meanwhile, Wyoming sits outside the top 100.
Ultimately, I don't see Wyoming having the horses to keep up with this electric Air Force offense, led by quarterback Liam Szarka, who leads the team in both passing and rushing for a unit averaging over 490 yards and 38 points per game. Szarka has arguably been the best quarterback in the nation at the Group of 5 level.
Give me the 1-5 Falcons on a discount at home to get their first FBS victory of the season after coming up just short in the final minute against a pair of teams in the CFP discussion in Navy and UNLV on the road.
Meanwhile, I have no issues fading Wyoming with an offense that averages under 20 points per game (against an easier schedule) one week following a very fortunate victory over San Jose State.
In that game, Wyoming trailed 28-14 at halftime, with half of their points coming on a punt return touchdown. In the third quarter, the Spartans then missed a pair of field goals to extend the lead, and then starting quarterback Walker Eget went down with an injury. His backup then threw a pick-6 in the fourth quarter, which led to a 21-0 runout for the Pokes, who won 35-28 with a pair of non-offensive scores.
To illustrate the drop-off in quarterback production after Eget left, take a look at these splits:
- Eget: 23-for-37, 295 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT
- Backups: 8-for-19, 45 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT
Wyoming will hit some explosives as everybody does against Air Force, but not as consistently as some of these other top-50 offenses have done against the Falcons, who should continue to score at will, just like they did last week in Vegas when they amassed more than 600 yards of total offense.
I think this line should be closer to Air Force -6.
Pick: Air Force -4 or Better
