Warriors vs. Rockets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 24, 2025
Warriors at Rockets
1:30 am • TNTWarriors at Rockets Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Warriors 4-3 | +1 | +4-110 | o204.5-110 | +150 |
 Rockets 3-4 | u208.5 | -4-110 | u204.5-110 | -180 |
Toyota CenterHouston
Warriors vs. Rockets Expert Picks
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU -3.5-112
1u
Anthony Dabbundo
Last 30d: 43-58-0 (-17.4u)
Under 208.5-110
1.5u
DK
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 15-25-0 (+5.2u)
S.Curry o29.5 Pts+Rebs-121
1u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 204.5-110
0.91u
Rockets put up just 85 in Game 1 — fewest playoff pts since 2016. Rockets’ defense thrives at home: 107.2 opp PPG, 45.0% FG allowed. Slow pace clear — 87 FGA for HOU, 80 for GSW. Under hit 8 of last 11 in HOU. Physical game, limited transition, tight halfcourt sets.
Rockets pulled 22 OREBs, but just 22 second-chance pts — all effort, no finish. Shot 39.1% FG, 20.7% from deep. Looks were clean, but execution off. Warriors held them in check with 110.2 opp PPG on season. Even w/ better shooting, expect low output.
Both teams avg ~113 PPG, but defenses steady: HOU 109.6 opp PPG, GSW 110.2. Rockets dominate glass (14.7 OREB/gm), slowing Warriors’ fastbreak. Sengün shot 61.1% in G1, but overall efficiency weak. Intensity rises in G2 — scoring won’t.
HOU -2.5-110
0.91u
Rockets crashed the glass in Game 1 – 22 OREBs to Warriors’ 6. Only turned it into 22 second-chance pts. Shot 39.1% FG, 20.7% from 3 – wide open looks missed. Sengün was efficient: 26 pts on 61.1%. If shooting regresses to the mean, offense bounces back strong.
Defense solid all year – 109.6 opp PPG, 45.9% FG. Even better at home: 107.2 PPG, 45%. Held Warriors to 95 in Game 1. Fought back from down 23, cut to 4 late. Late-game D, home crowd, and urgency = edge. Warriors offense didn’t overwhelm – Rockets kept pace.
Slow playoff tempo coming again. Rockets avg 14.7 OREBs, GSW just 12.5. Under hit in 8 of last 11 at Toyota. HOU 29-13 at home, defense locks in. Missed layups + wide open threes are easy fixes. With those cleaned up, Rockets should take Game 2 tight.
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 31-37-0 (+2.2u)
J.Green u3.5 Ast-165
0.8u
A.Sengun To Record 4+ Assists Yes-160
0.31u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 98-94-3 (+21.8u)
HOU -3.5-110
1u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 28-96-0 (-14.2u)
D.Green u6.5 Rebs-115
0.65u
Down to 7.1rpg last 2 playoffs after 10.0 previous 100 playoff games, down to career low 6.1 this year. Just tough sledding vs Sengun Adams Amen and at 5.4 vs Houston under in 4/5. Always possible an easy under too with fouls or techs.
F.VanVleet u14.5 Pts-120
0.63u
4/19 for 10pts G1, more of the same for him so back to the well. 9.0ppg vs GSW now under in all 5g, and under this in 12/17 since start of Feb. 22% FG vs GSW, might just be age/size profile catching up and exhausted chasing Ws motion all game on D.
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 141-123-9 (+23.2u)
A.Sengun o14.5 Rebs+Ast+100
1u
S.Curry o30.5 Pts+Ast-122
1.22u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 66-75-4 (-22.4u)
Under 203.5-110
2.73u
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 6-8-0 (-1.1u)
Over 204-110
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 48-54-1 (+3.3u)
Under 204.5-101
0.99u
HOU -3-110
0.91u
Anders
Last 30d: 11-20-1 (-12.9u)
HOU -3-110
1u
How bout some NBA
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 21-58-1 (-2.7u)
D.Green u6.5 Rebs-115
0.5u
#Tailing @wheatonbrando
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 39-30-1 (+0.1u)
D.Green u6.5 Rebs-115
0.25u
Tailing @wheatonbrando
F.VanVleet u14.5 Pts-120
0.25u
Tailing @wheatonbrando
M.Moody u13.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
0.6u
Going back to this one. Moody finished with 10 PRA over 28 minutes in Game 1 but Warriors were in control from the 2nd quarter onward so they didn’t need to make any changes to rotation. Rockets are 3-point favorites in Game 2 as of this writing and I suspect they make adjustments.
Podz (35 mins), Draymond (37 mins), Curry (40 mins) and Butler (42 mins) barely left the court. If Warriors need to make an adjustment like play more GPII or more Looney to combat Steven Adams who nearly double-doubled in his 20 mins, I think Moody would be the most at risk to lose minutes.
Topper
Last 30d: 184-149-8 (+27.7u)
A.Sengun u14.5 Rebs+Ast+105
1.6u
8.7% ev
B.Hield u1.5 3pt M-130
1.23u
J.Smith o1.5 3pt M+150
0.7u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Hield u1.5 3pt M-190
1u
GSW +3.5-108
2.16u
A.Thompson u4.5 Ast-154
1u
Over 204.5-110
1.1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 47-73-1 (-25.1u)
GSW o100.5 Team Total-115
1u
Chef cooking
GSW +4-110
1u
Down with the ship
GSW o94.5 Team Total (Live)-110
1u
Oof we might be fucked boys
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 84-93-1 (+20.7u)
Over 204-110
1.1u
Bryan Fonseca
Last 30d: 4-3-0 (+1.0u)
A.Thompson o25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105
1u
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-2.1u)
S.Curry u25.5 Pts-110
1.36u
MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
GSW +3.5-104
1.04u
DeadPresPicks
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
HOU -3-110
0.5u
Warriors vs. Rockets Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Warriors vs. Rockets Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Rockets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Rockets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Rockets are 19-22 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Rockets' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Rockets' 41 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Rockets vs. Warriors Injury Updates
Rockets Injuries
- Steven AdamsC
Adams is out with calf
Out
Warriors Injuries
- Kristaps PorziņģisC
Porziņģis is out with unknown
Out
- Jimmy ButlerSF
Butler is out with knee
Out
- Moses MoodySG
Moody is out with knee
Out
- Charles BasseyC
Bassey is out with knee
Out
- Brandin PodziemskiSG
Podziemski is out with back
Out
Player Stats
- scoring
-38ppg - rebounding
Alperen Sengun16rpg - assistsAlperen Sengun7apg
- shooting
Tari Eason66.7fg%
Team Stats
Warriors vs. Rockets Odds Comparison
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Warriors at Rockets Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Warriors 4-3 | N/A | N/A |
Rockets 3-4 | N/A | N/A |