The Memphis Grizzlies (25-56) and Houston Rockets (51-30) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. The game will broadcast live on SCHN.
The Rockets are 13.5-point favorites over the Grizzlies on the spread (Rockets -13.5), with the over/under set at 225.5 total points. Houston is a -900 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Memphis is +575 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Grizzlies vs. Rockets predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, April 12.
Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction, Pick
- Grizzlies vs Rockets pick: Under 225.5 (-105)
My Rockets vs. Grizzlies best bet is on the game to stay under 225.5 total points. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Grizzlies vs Rockets Odds
| Grizzlies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -110 | 225.5 -115o / -105u | +575 |
| Rockets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -110 | 225.5 -115o / -105u | -900 |
Grizzlies vs Rockets NBA Preview
The Grizzlies enter this game in a state of transition and struggle. With key foundational pieces like Ja Morant and Zach Edey ruled out, Memphis has struggled to find consistent offensive rhythm.
Memphis is coming off a series of blowout losses, including a 147-101 defeat to the Jazz and a 136-119 loss to the Nuggets. While those scores suggest "Over" potential, they reflect a Grizzlies' defense that has completely collapsed, but an offense that is often stagnant for long stretches.
On the other side, the Rockets have been one of the more disciplined teams at home. While they recently suffered a high-scoring loss to the Timberwolves (136-132), their season-long trend at the Toyota Center tells a different story.
Our Bet Labs system titled "Reverse Line Movement Unders" identifies value on the Under in division games where the total drops despite the public leaning Over (40% or less of bets).
The reverse movement of the line suggests sharp action is backing the Under. Division familiarity often leads to tighter, lower-scoring games, enhancing the edge.
Grizzlies vs Rockets Predictions, Betting Analysis
As the Bet Labs theory suggests, division familiarity plays a huge role here. These teams have met multiple times this season, and the scouting reports are well-established.
Division games often breed more physical, half-court-oriented basketball. In their most recent January meeting, these two combined for just 207 points (108-99).
With the Grizzlies' depleted roster struggling to create easy buckets and the Rockets' historical tendency to stay Under at home, the sharp movement toward the Under is the side to follow.
Pick: Under 225.5 (-105)
