We have three NBA props for this Monday and our staff of basketball betting experts is focused on key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances in Game 4 between the Timberwolves and Warriors tonight.
Continue below for my NBA player props for Monday, May 12.
NBA Player Props for Monday, May 12
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3.5 Rebounds + Assists
- Buddy Hield Over 13.5 Points
- Draymond Green Over 12.5 Points + Assists
Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3.5 Rebounds + Assists (-125)
Minnesota's Nickeil Alexander-Walker is amid a rough stretch through the playoffs. The backup guard is shooting just 29.6% from the floor and 28.1% from beyond the arc.
During the regular season, Walker shot 43.8% on his field goal attempts and 38.1% from distance.
However, Timberwolves head coach Chris Finch has no other option but to stick with the Virginia Tech product because he remains a key piece of the team's eight-man rotation.
While the four-year veteran will continue trying to find his shooting form, he must find other ways to contribute to the team. He can do so by creating scoring opportunities for his teammates and helping out on the glass.
Walker has a rebounds + assists prop of 3.5—a number he has cleared in 17 of his last 19 games. He averaged 5.89 rebounds + assists during those games while registering a median of five.
Since I expect Finch to continue giving Walker minutes despite his struggles, I like his chances of covering this prop line.
Pick: Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3.5 Rebounds + Assists (-125 at bet365)
Buddy Hield Over 13.5 Points (-122)
The Warriors led by as many as six points two minutes into the fourth quarter of Game 3 before Minnesota roared back with 33 points over the final 10 minutes for a 102-97 victory.
A glance at the box score reveals a very even game, although Minnesota outscored Golden State 39-30 from beyond the arc.
With Stephen Curry set to miss another game, the Warriors must turn to Buddy Hield to provide that perimeter threat.
We've seen instances this postseason when Hield put the team on his back, scoring 33 points in a Game 7 against the Rockets. He began this series against Minnesota with a 24-point effort in Game 1.
Hield has a scoring prop of 13.5, which he has covered in four consecutive games and four straight head-to-head meetings against the Timberwolves. He led the Warriors with four 3-pointers in Game 3 and is shooting 46.3% from long range this postseason.
The Warriors are desperate to avoid dropping back-to-back home games in this series, and I expect we'll see a renewed effort in Game 4, with Hield playing a key role in their offensive attack.
Pick: Buddy Hield Over 13.5 Points (-122 at FanDuel)
Draymond Green Over 12.5 Points + Assists (-125)
Another Golden State player likely to outperform their projection is Draymond Green. The Warriors' power forward has a points + assists prop of 12.5 for Monday night.
While Green failed to cover this line his last time out, it's worth noting that he struggled with fouls in Game 3 before eventually fouling out.
However, as a veteran leader on the team, I expect Green to be on his best behavior for Game 4. His two points and four assists in the previous outing snapped a stretch of four games with at least 14 points + assists.
Green's numbers against the Timberwolves are also very propitious, considering he has cleared this prop line of 12.5 points + assists in six of his last eight meetings.
Thus, this is a good spot for him to bounce back. If he can stay out of foul trouble, he should be in a better position to be more productive for the Warriors on the court.
Pick: Draymond Green over 12.5 points + assists (-125 at DraftKings)
